An intuitive way to understand Bayesian updating is via odds instead of probabilities or percentages. (chapter 8 - Updating - of Reason Better by David Manley)
Showing posts with label math. Show all posts
Showing posts with label math. Show all posts
Wednesday, December 9, 2020
Bayes As Odds
Saturday, October 10, 2020
Map Ain't Territory Reminder
Scientific models like causal DAGs are probably much cruder instruments for understanding real-life complex phenomena than I have been hoping recently.
Tuesday, July 21, 2020
Origins of Epistemology of Disagreement
A lot of thought on the epistemology of disagreement comes before and outside philosophy (hat tip: James Bailey on COVID-19 experts)
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